Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia Prediction: Estrela to Win | Correct Score: 2-0 | Both Teams to Score: No | Under 3.5 Goals
Estrela da Amadora welcome Casa Pia AC to Estádio José Gomes on Saturday, October 24, 2026, for an important Matchday 9 encounter in the Portuguese Primeira Liga.
Both teams enter this Lisbon-area derby hoping to improve their league positions after inconsistent performances during the opening weeks of the 2026/27 campaign.
Estrela da Amadora currently occupy 10th place with 10 points from eight matches, while Casa Pia sit 17th with just four points.
The hosts have demonstrated significantly greater attacking quality, scoring 14 goals in their opening eight league fixtures.
Casa Pia, meanwhile, have struggled to create scoring opportunities, managing only three goals across eight Primeira Liga matches.
Recent head-to-head results also favour Estrela, who defeated Casa Pia in both league encounters last season.
Our Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia prediction favours a home victory, with Estrela's superior attacking statistics, home advantage and recent head-to-head record supporting a 2-0 result.
Quick Match Prediction
| Prediction Market | LincBet Analysis |
|---|---|
| Predicted Winner | Estrela da Amadora |
| Correct Score Prediction | Estrela 2-0 Casa Pia |
| Estrela Win Probability | 47% |
| Draw Probability | 29% |
| Casa Pia Win Probability | 24% |
| Both Teams to Score | No |
| Total Goals | Under 3.5 Goals |
| Alternative Goals Prediction | Over 1.5 Goals |
| Double Chance | Estrela or Draw (1X) |
| First Half Prediction | Draw |
| Half-Time Correct Score | 0-0 |
| Prediction Confidence | Moderate |
These percentages represent rounded LincBet editorial estimates based on available pre-match information. They are not official betting odds or statistically validated probabilities.
Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia Match Information
Competition: Portuguese Primeira Liga 2026/27
Matchday: 9
Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
Kickoff: 15:30 Portugal time / 14:30 UTC / 17:30 Jordan time
Venue: Estádio José Gomes
Location: Amadora, Portugal
Home Team: CF Estrela da Amadora
Away Team: Casa Pia AC
Estrela Head Coach: Pepa
Casa Pia Head Coach: Filipe Coelho
Estrela da Amadora Recent Form and Performance
Estrela da Amadora have experienced an inconsistent but relatively productive opening to the 2026/27 Primeira Liga campaign.
Under head coach Pepa, the team have demonstrated encouraging attacking performances, particularly against stronger Portuguese opposition.
However, defensive weaknesses have prevented them from converting several competitive performances into victories.
Estrela's most recent league match ended in a 1-0 away defeat against Arouca on October 11.
That result followed a disappointing 2-0 home loss against Académico de Viseu on September 20.
Before those defeats, Estrela produced an entertaining 3-3 away draw against Rio Ave.
One of their most impressive performances came on September 10, when they defeated Braga 2-1 at home.
That victory demonstrated their ability to compete against technically strong opponents.
Estrela da Amadora Recent Results
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| October 18, 2026 | Fazendense vs Estrela | 1-2 Win (Cup) |
| October 11, 2026 | Arouca vs Estrela | 1-0 Loss |
| September 20, 2026 | Estrela vs Académico Viseu | 0-2 Loss |
| September 14, 2026 | Rio Ave vs Estrela | 3-3 Draw |
| September 10, 2026 | Estrela vs Braga | 2-1 Win |
| September 5, 2026 | Estrela vs Famalicão | 2-2 Draw |
Estrela da Amadora Primeira Liga Statistics
| Statistic | Record |
|---|---|
| Matches Played | 8 |
| Points | 10 |
| League Position | 10th |
| Wins | 2 |
| Draws | 4 |
| Losses | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 14 |
| Goals Conceded | 15 |
| Average Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| Average Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
Estrela have averaged 1.75 goals per league match, demonstrating an ability to create and convert opportunities.
However, conceding almost two goals per game highlights their defensive vulnerability.
The hosts have also struggled to keep clean sheets, which makes their attacking performance particularly important.
Estrela da Amadora Home Performance
Home advantage could play an important role in this fixture.
Estrela have scored an average of 1.50 goals per home league match.
Three of their four home matches have featured at least three total goals.
Their victory against Braga and competitive draw against Famalicão demonstrate the attacking possibilities available at Estádio José Gomes.
However, their recent defeat against Académico de Viseu shows that home advantage alone does not guarantee a positive result.
Against Casa Pia, Estrela will aim to combine attacking confidence with improved defensive organisation.
Casa Pia Recent Form and Performance
Casa Pia have endured a difficult opening to the Primeira Liga season.
The visitors enter Matchday 9 in 17th position with only four points from eight matches.
Their biggest concern has been a lack of attacking productivity.
Casa Pia have scored only three league goals, averaging 0.38 per match.
Their most recent league fixture ended in a 1-0 home defeat against Santa Clara on October 10.
Before that, Casa Pia secured an important 2-1 away victory against Estoril on September 20.
However, that victory remains their only league win of the campaign.
A heavy 4-1 defeat against FC Porto earlier in September exposed weaknesses in their defensive structure.
Despite these difficulties, Casa Pia have demonstrated some defensive resilience during away matches.
Their goalless draw against Vitória de Guimarães showed that they can remain competitive when maintaining a compact defensive system.
Casa Pia Recent Results
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| October 18, 2026 | Alpendorada vs Casa Pia | 0-1 Win (Cup) |
| October 10, 2026 | Casa Pia vs Santa Clara | 0-1 Loss |
| September 20, 2026 | Estoril vs Casa Pia | 1-2 Win |
| September 12, 2026 | Casa Pia vs FC Porto | 1-4 Loss |
| September 6, 2026 | Vitória Guimarães vs Casa Pia | 0-0 Draw |
| August 30, 2026 | Casa Pia vs Moreirense | 0-1 Loss |
Casa Pia Primeira Liga Statistics
| Statistic | Record |
|---|---|
| Matches Played | 8 |
| Points | 4 |
| League Position | 17th |
| Wins | 1 |
| Draws | 1 |
| Losses | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 3 |
| Goals Conceded | 17 |
| Average Goals Scored | 0.38 |
| Average Goals Conceded | 2.13 |
Casa Pia's attacking difficulties represent a major concern.
Scoring three goals across eight fixtures makes it difficult to consistently compete for victories.
Their defensive record also requires improvement, with 17 goals conceded.
However, Casa Pia's away performances have sometimes been more organised than their overall statistics suggest.
Casa Pia Away Performance
Casa Pia have averaged approximately 0.50 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per away league match.
Their victory against Estoril and draw against Vitória de Guimarães demonstrate their ability to frustrate opponents.
Nevertheless, limited attacking productivity places considerable pressure on their defensive organisation.
Against Estrela, Casa Pia may prioritise maintaining a compact structure and creating opportunities through counterattacks.
Primeira Liga Standings and Season Statistics
Estrela enter this fixture with a six-point advantage over Casa Pia.
| Statistic | Estrela da Amadora | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 10th | 17th |
| Matches Played | 8 | 8 |
| Points | 10 | 4 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 14 | 3 |
| Goals Conceded | 15 | 17 |
| Goal Difference | -1 | -14 |
| Goals Scored Per Game | 1.75 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded Per Game | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| Last Five League Results | L-L-D-W-D | L-W-L-D-L |
The most significant difference between these teams is attacking production.
Estrela have scored 11 more league goals than Casa Pia.
They also create more shooting opportunities and generally maintain a higher share of possession.
However, both teams have struggled defensively, suggesting that match control and finishing efficiency could determine the result.
Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head Record
The recent competitive head-to-head record favours Estrela da Amadora.
Across their previous six Primeira Liga meetings since 2023, Estrela have secured four victories, while Casa Pia have recorded two.
None of those six league encounters ended in a draw.
Estrela also won both meetings during the 2025/26 season.
Last Six Head-to-Head Results
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| March 20, 2026 | Estrela vs Casa Pia | 4-0 |
| November 1, 2025 | Casa Pia vs Estrela | 3-5 |
| February 9, 2025 | Casa Pia vs Estrela | 1-0 |
| August 31, 2024 | Estrela vs Casa Pia | 0-1 |
| March 8, 2024 | Estrela vs Casa Pia | 3-1 |
| October 8, 2023 | Casa Pia vs Estrela | 0-1 |
Last Six League Meetings: Estrela 4 Wins | Draws 0 | Casa Pia 2 Wins
Estrela's two victories last season were particularly convincing.
They defeated Casa Pia 5-3 away from home before securing a dominant 4-0 home victory in March 2026.
Those results demonstrate Estrela's ability to exploit Casa Pia's defensive weaknesses.
However, historical results do not guarantee a similar outcome, particularly after changes in personnel and team form.
Estrela da Amadora Team News and Key Players
Estrela enter this fixture with Jeremy Arévalo listed as an injury concern because of a back problem.
His availability could influence the home side's attacking options.
Head coach Pepa otherwise has several important attacking players to consider.
Estrela da Amadora Players to Watch
Leandro Antonetti
Antonetti has been an important attacking contributor for Estrela during the opening weeks of the campaign.
His movement, finishing ability and willingness to attack defensive spaces could create problems for Casa Pia.
Ianis Stoica
Stoica offers attacking versatility and dangerous movement around the penalty area.
His ability to support the central striker and exploit defensive gaps could be particularly useful.
Abraham Marcus
Marcus provides pace, creativity and direct attacking movement.
He has been one of the league's more effective players at creating major scoring opportunities.
His ability to beat defenders and deliver dangerous passes could prove decisive.
Lovro Zvonarek
Zvonarek offers technical quality and creativity in midfield.
His passing and movement could help Estrela control possession and create scoring opportunities.
Casa Pia Team News and Key Players
Casa Pia approach this encounter with several availability concerns.
Defender David Sousa is suspended, while André Gomes is dealing with a muscle injury.
These absences may influence Filipe Coelho's defensive and midfield selections.
Casa Pia Players to Watch
Henrique Araújo
Araújo provides an attacking presence and intelligent movement inside the penalty area.
His finishing ability could become important if Casa Pia create limited opportunities.
Benjamin Pauwels
Pauwels has been one of Casa Pia's more active attacking players.
His movement and willingness to shoot could provide the visitors with a route to goal.
Lawrence Ofori
Ofori is an important midfield contributor.
His defensive work and ability to create opportunities could help Casa Pia compete in central areas.
João Rego
Rego provides creativity in advanced midfield positions.
His passing and movement may help Casa Pia connect midfield possession with their attacking players.
Final team selections and availability should be confirmed against official lineups before kickoff.
Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia Tactical Analysis
How Estrela da Amadora Could Approach the Match
Estrela may adopt a 4-3-3 formation, allowing their attacking players to operate across several forward positions.
Pepa's team have demonstrated the ability to create opportunities through wide attacking movement, midfield combinations and quick transitions.
Abraham Marcus and Ianis Stoica could provide direct attacking threats.
Leandro Antonetti may also become influential through movement inside the penalty area.
Against Casa Pia, Estrela may attempt to establish possession early and apply pressure through their wide players.
However, defensive concentration will be essential.
Their record of 15 goals conceded in eight league matches suggests that excessive attacking commitment could leave spaces for counterattacks.
How Casa Pia Could Approach the Match
Casa Pia may use a 4-2-3-1 formation designed to maintain midfield balance and defensive compactness.
Their limited goalscoring record suggests they may avoid an unnecessarily open match.
The visitors could allow Estrela greater possession while attempting to exploit spaces through quick counterattacks.
Henrique Araújo may lead the attacking line, supported by creative midfield players.
Lawrence Ofori could play an important role in disrupting Estrela's attacking rhythm.
Casa Pia's ability to remain organised during the opening half may determine whether they can remain competitive.
Key Tactical Battle
The main tactical contest could develop between Estrela's attacking midfield and Casa Pia's defensive structure.
Estrela have demonstrated greater attacking productivity, while Casa Pia have struggled to score consistently.
If the hosts create early opportunities and convert them efficiently, Casa Pia may find it difficult to recover.
However, a disciplined defensive performance from the visitors could keep the match competitive.
Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia Betting Tips
1. Estrela da Amadora to Win
Estrela possess several advantages heading into this fixture.
They have collected six more points than Casa Pia and scored significantly more league goals.
Their recent head-to-head record is also encouraging, particularly after winning both meetings last season.
Casa Pia's lack of attacking productivity creates additional difficulties for the visitors.
Although Estrela have struggled defensively, their attacking quality and home advantage give them a reasonable opportunity to secure victory.
Prediction: Estrela da Amadora to Win
2. Both Teams to Score – No
Casa Pia have scored only three goals in eight Primeira Liga matches.
Their attacking struggles could limit their ability to threaten Estrela consistently.
Although the hosts have not been reliable defensively, Casa Pia's low scoring average supports the possibility of a home clean sheet.
Prediction: Both Teams to Score – No
3. Under 3.5 Total Goals
Casa Pia generally struggle to score and may adopt a cautious tactical approach.
Their away fixtures have often been more controlled than their overall defensive statistics suggest.
Estrela may also prioritise defensive improvement after conceding regularly earlier in the campaign.
A match featuring two or three goals appears plausible.
Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals
4. Double Chance – Estrela da Amadora or Draw (1X)
Estrela's stronger league position, attacking statistics and favourable recent head-to-head record support the possibility of avoiding defeat.
The double-chance selection accounts for either a home victory or a draw.
However, it does not eliminate the risk of an away victory.
Prediction: Estrela da Amadora or Draw (1X)
5. Correct Score Prediction – Estrela 2-0 Casa Pia
Our preferred correct-score scenario is a 2-0 home victory.
Estrela possess greater attacking productivity and have previously demonstrated their ability to score multiple goals against Casa Pia.
The visitors' limited attacking output suggests that Estrela could secure a clean sheet if they maintain defensive discipline.
Correct Score Prediction: Estrela da Amadora 2-0 Casa Pia
Correct-score forecasts are more uncertain than broader match-outcome predictions.
First-Half and Second-Half Prediction
First-Half Outlook
Estrela may attempt to establish early control through possession and attacking movement.
Casa Pia could respond with a compact defensive structure designed to limit scoring opportunities.
Given the visitors' cautious away performances, the opening period may be relatively controlled.
First-Half Prediction: Draw
Half-Time Correct Score: 0-0
Second-Half Outlook
The match could become more open after halftime as Estrela increase their attacking pressure.
Their greater goalscoring productivity and home advantage may become increasingly influential.
Casa Pia could threaten through counterattacks, but their difficulties converting chances remain a concern.
We expect the hosts to create the better opportunities in the second half.
Second-Half Prediction: Estrela da Amadora to Win
Full-Time Correct Score: 2-0
Key Factors That Could Decide the Match
1. Estrela's Attacking Advantage
The hosts have scored 14 league goals compared with Casa Pia's three.
2. Casa Pia's Goalscoring Difficulties
The visitors average just 0.38 goals per Primeira Liga match.
3. Recent Head-to-Head Results
Estrela won both meetings last season, scoring nine goals across the two fixtures.
4. Home Advantage
Playing at Estádio José Gomes could provide Estrela with an important advantage.
5. Defensive Organisation
Both teams have conceded regularly, making defensive concentration essential.
6. Midfield Control
The ability to control possession and manage counterattacks could determine the match.
Final Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia Prediction
Estrela da Amadora and Casa Pia enter this Primeira Liga encounter with contrasting attacking statistics.
Estrela have demonstrated greater offensive quality and currently occupy a considerably stronger league position.
Although their defensive record remains a concern, the hosts have the attacking resources to create opportunities against Casa Pia.
The visitors have struggled throughout the opening eight matches, particularly in front of goal.
Their recent away performances demonstrate some defensive resilience, but their limited scoring production could make a comeback difficult if Estrela take the lead.
We expect a competitive opening period before the hosts gradually establish greater attacking control.
Estrela's stronger attacking record and positive head-to-head history give them the advantage.
Final Prediction: Estrela da Amadora 2-0 Casa Pia
Best Match Prediction: Estrela da Amadora to Win
Both Teams to Score: No
Total Goals: Under 3.5
Double Chance: Estrela da Amadora or Draw (1X)
Prediction Confidence: Moderate
Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia FAQ
Who will win Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia?
LincBet favours Estrela da Amadora due to their stronger attacking statistics, home advantage and positive recent head-to-head record.
What is the predicted score for Estrela vs Casa Pia?
Our predicted correct score is Estrela da Amadora 2-0 Casa Pia.
Will both teams score in Estrela vs Casa Pia?
Our prediction is Both Teams to Score – No, primarily because Casa Pia have scored just three goals in eight league matches.
Is Over 2.5 Goals a good prediction?
Over 2.5 Goals remains possible, particularly given Estrela's defensive weaknesses. However, our preferred total-goals selection is Under 3.5 Goals.
What is the safest prediction for Estrela vs Casa Pia?
No football prediction is completely safe. Estrela or Draw (1X) provides broader outcome coverage than an outright home win, but it can still lose.
What is Estrela da Amadora's current league position?
Estrela enter the match in 10th place with 10 points from eight Primeira Liga fixtures.
What is Casa Pia's current league position?
Casa Pia occupy 17th place with four points from eight matches.
Who won the previous Estrela vs Casa Pia match?
Estrela da Amadora defeated Casa Pia 4-0 on March 20, 2026.
Where will Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia be played?
The match will take place at Estádio José Gomes in Amadora, Portugal.
When is Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia?
The match is scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026, at 15:30 Portuguese local time.
What is LincBet's final prediction?
Our final prediction is Estrela da Amadora to Win, with a 2-0 correct-score forecast, Both Teams to Score – No and Under 3.5 Goals.
Football predictions are estimates based on available pre-match information. Actual results may differ, and no prediction guarantees a successful outcome.