# Parma vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips – Serie A, 7 November 2026
🟡🔵 **Parma** vs 🔴🔵 **Bologna**
**Main Prediction:** Bologna to Win
**Correct Score:** 1-2
**Both Teams to Score:** Yes
**Total Goals:** Under 3.5
Parma welcome Bologna to Stadio Ennio Tardini on Saturday, 7 November 2026, for an important Emilia-Romagna derby in Matchday 11 of the 2026–27 Serie A season. Both clubs have contrasting objectives, and the difference in their recent performances makes this an intriguing encounter.
Parma enter the fixture in 15th position with eight points from ten matches. Their campaign has been inconsistent, with defensive problems and a lack of goals contributing to their difficult league position. However, their impressive 3-0 away victory against Atalanta on 2 November demonstrated that they remain capable of producing excellent performances against strong opposition.
Bologna arrive in considerably better form. They are ninth with 14 points and have won four of their last five league matches. Their recent victories against Monza, AC Milan and Cagliari underline their attacking potential and ability to collect points away from home.
The fixture is also interesting because Parma have enjoyed some positive recent results against Bologna, including a 1-0 away victory in February 2026. The hosts will hope to use that confidence and their home support to produce another strong performance.
Nevertheless, Bologna have been more consistent throughout the current campaign. Their attacking combinations, stronger league position and recent momentum give them an advantage.
The match is unlikely to be straightforward for the visitors. Parma have shown that they can defend effectively and produce dangerous counterattacks, especially when their forwards receive support from midfield. Bologna must therefore combine attacking ambition with defensive discipline.
A narrow Bologna victory is the preferred prediction, although a competitive match with opportunities for both teams is expected.
---
## 1. 🔮 Quick Match Prediction
Bologna are the favourites to win this Emilia-Romagna derby, primarily because of their stronger league position and recent results.
The visitors have collected 14 points from ten matches, compared with Parma's eight. They have also scored 14 league goals, while Parma have managed eight.
The difference in recent form is significant. Bologna have won four of their last five league fixtures, whereas Parma have recorded one victory, one draw and three defeats over the same period.
However, Parma's 3-0 victory against Atalanta is an important warning against underestimating the home side. They demonstrated that they can be dangerous when their attacking players find space and their defensive structure remains organised.
**Match Win Probabilities**
Home Win: 26%
Draw: 28%
Away Win: 46%
These are editorial estimates based on available league statistics, recent form, home and away performances, squad availability and tactical assessment. They are not guaranteed outcomes or bookmaker odds.
### Prediction Summary
| Prediction Market | LincBet Selection |
|---|---|
| Predicted Winner | 🔴🔵 Bologna |
| Correct Score | Parma 1-2 Bologna |
| Home Win | 26% |
| Draw | 28% |
| Away Win | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes |
| Total Goals | Under 3.5 |
| Alternative Goals | Over 1.5 |
| Double Chance | Bologna or Draw (X2) |
| First-Half Prediction | Draw |
| Half-Time Score | 0-0 |
| Second-Half Prediction | Bologna to Win the Second Half |
| Second-Half Score | 1-2 |
| Prediction Confidence | Medium |
### Why Bologna Are Favourites
- Bologna have collected 14 points from their first ten league matches.
- They have won four of their last five league fixtures.
- Their recent victories include wins against AC Milan and Cagliari.
- Bologna have scored 14 league goals, compared with Parma's eight.
- Their away record has been stronger than Parma's home record.
- Their attacking options provide greater variety in the final third.
### Why Parma Could Cause an Upset
Parma have recently defeated Atalanta 3-0 away from home. That result demonstrated their ability to exploit defensive weaknesses and produce an effective attacking performance.
They also defeated Bologna 1-0 in February 2026.
Their home advantage and ability to attack quickly mean Bologna cannot afford to approach this fixture carelessly.
The most likely outcome remains a narrow away victory, but the draw is a realistic alternative.
---
## 2. 🏟️ Match Information
The match will be played at Stadio Ennio Tardini in Parma, Italy.
It is a Matchday 11 fixture in the 2026–27 Serie A season and an important regional encounter between two neighbouring clubs.
Parma are looking to improve their position in the lower half of the standings, while Bologna want to maintain their progress towards the European qualification positions.
### Professional Match Information
| Match Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Home Team | 🟡🔵 Parma |
| Away Team | 🔴🔵 Bologna |
| Competition | Italian Serie A |
| Season | 2026–27 |
| Matchday | 11 |
| Date | Saturday, 7 November 2026 |
| Kickoff Time | 18:00 local time |
| Stadium | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| City | Parma, Italy |
| Home Manager | Alberto Gilardino |
| Away Manager | Raffaele Palladino |
| Referee | Luca Zufferli |
| VAR | Not independently confirmed |
| Match Status | Scheduled |
### 🏟️ Venue Analysis
Stadio Ennio Tardini is Parma's home stadium and provides an important advantage for the hosts.
Parma have generally been more competitive at home than away during the current campaign. Their supporters will expect a determined performance against a regional rival.
Bologna must remain composed and avoid allowing the atmosphere to influence their decision-making.
The visitors should attempt to control possession and use their attacking width to stretch Parma's defensive structure.
### Match Context
| Team | Main Objective |
|---|---|
| 🟡🔵 Parma | Move away from the lower part of the table |
| 🔴🔵 Bologna | Strengthen their position in the upper half |
The regional rivalry adds importance to the result, particularly for the home supporters.
---
## 3. 📊 League Standings and Season Comparison
After ten matches, Parma occupy 15th position with eight points, while Bologna are ninth with 14 points.
The difference of six points reflects Bologna's stronger start to the season.
Parma have struggled to score consistently and have conceded 15 goals. Bologna have scored 14 and conceded 13, giving them a positive goal difference compared with Parma's negative balance.
### Current League Comparison
| Statistic | 🟡🔵 Parma | 🔴🔵 Bologna |
|---|---:|---:|
| League Position | 15th | 9th |
| Matches Played | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Conceded | 15 | 13 |
| Goal Difference | -7 | +1 |
| Points | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored Per Match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals Conceded Per Match | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Points Per Match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Clean Sheets | Not independently confirmed | Not independently confirmed |
### ⚽ Attacking Comparison
Bologna have scored 14 goals in ten matches, averaging 1.40 goals per game.
Parma have scored eight, averaging 0.80 per game.
This difference is important because Bologna have demonstrated the ability to create goals through different attacking combinations.
Their recent 4-2 away victory against AC Milan was particularly encouraging. They also scored twice against Monza and Cagliari.
Parma's attacking production has been less consistent. Their 3-0 victory against Atalanta was an outstanding result, but it followed several matches in which they struggled to score.
The hosts need greater consistency from their forward players if they are to challenge Bologna.
### 🛡️ Defensive Comparison
Bologna have conceded 13 goals in ten matches, compared with Parma's 15.
The difference is not enormous, but Bologna have been more effective in turning their performances into points.
Parma have conceded three goals in several difficult fixtures, including matches against Torino and Inter.
Their defensive organisation must improve, particularly when opponents attack through wide areas or exploit spaces between the midfield and defensive lines.
### Home and Away Comparison
| Statistic | Parma at Home | Bologna Away |
|---|---:|---:|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 3 | 8 |
| Goals Conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Points | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored Per Match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals Conceded Per Match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
Bologna's away record is one of the strongest reasons to favour them.
They have collected nine points from five away matches, while Parma have managed five points from five home fixtures.
### Recent League Form
| Team | Last Five League Results | Wins | Draws | Losses |
|---|---|---:|---:|---:|
| 🟡🔵 Parma | W-D-L-L-L | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 🔴🔵 Bologna | W-W-W-L-W | 4 | 0 | 1 |
Bologna have the stronger form profile, although Parma's latest victory provides encouragement for the home supporters.
---
## 4. 📈 Home Team Recent Form and Performance – Parma
Parma enter the match after an impressive 3-0 away victory against Atalanta on 2 November 2026.
The result was particularly important because Parma had experienced a difficult sequence of performances before travelling to Bergamo.
They had struggled to score against Udinese, Torino and Inter, but their performance against Atalanta demonstrated that their attacking players can be effective when given space.
### Last Five Verified League Results
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | Atalanta | Away | 3-0 | Win |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Udinese | Home | 0-0 | Draw |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Lazio | Away | 1-2 | Loss |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Torino | Home | 0-3 | Loss |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Inter | Away | 0-3 | Loss |
Across these five league matches, Parma scored four goals and conceded eight.
### ⚽ Attacking Performance
Parma's attack has not been consistent enough.
Their average of 0.80 goals per league match is relatively low, and they have struggled to create clear opportunities against teams that defend with discipline.
Simone Lontani has been an important attacking contributor. His movement and finishing ability can provide a threat when Parma progress the ball into advanced areas.
El Bilal Touré offers physical presence and the ability to attack spaces behind the defensive line.
David Romero is another attacking option who may be important in the expected starting structure.
Giovanni Fabbian can contribute through forward runs from midfield, giving Parma another way to reach the penalty area.
The home side should focus on:
- Delivering accurate crosses into dangerous areas.
- Supporting the central forwards with midfield runs.
- Exploiting space behind Bologna's wing-backs.
- Improving the quality of their final passes.
- Using quick transitions when Bologna lose possession.
### 🛡️ Defensive Performance
Parma's defensive record remains a concern.
They have conceded 15 goals in ten league matches, and several recent defeats have exposed problems when defending sustained pressure.
The 3-0 defeat against Torino and the 3-0 loss against Inter demonstrated how difficult it can be for Parma to maintain defensive concentration against stronger attacking teams.
However, the clean sheet against Atalanta was a positive sign.
Enrico Delprato and Mariano Troilo will be important in organising the defensive line, while Abdoulaye Ndiaye can provide additional protection in the back three.
The midfield must also remain compact to prevent Bologna from receiving possession between the lines.
### 🏠 Home Record
| Home Statistic | Record |
|---|---:|
| Matches | 5 |
| Wins | 1 |
| Draws | 2 |
| Losses | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 3 |
| Goals Conceded | 6 |
| Points | 5 |
Parma's home performances have been mixed.
They have demonstrated some defensive stability but have struggled to score consistently.
Against Bologna, they need to improve their attacking productivity without sacrificing their defensive structure.
### Tactical Outlook
Parma are expected to use a 3-5-2 formation.
This structure should provide additional protection in central defence while allowing the wing-backs to support attacking movements.
The midfield will be important because Bologna have several players capable of controlling possession.
Parma should attempt to remain compact, recover possession and attack quickly when space becomes available.
Their best opportunity may come through direct forward passes and attacking transitions rather than trying to dominate possession for long periods.
---
## 5. 📈 Away Team Recent Form and Performance – Bologna
Bologna travel to Parma after a strong sequence of league performances.
Their most recent match was a 2-1 home victory against Monza on 31 October.
Before that, they defeated AC Milan 4-2 away and Cagliari 2-0 away.
These results demonstrate that Bologna can produce goals against different types of opposition and remain competitive away from home.
### Last Five Verified League Results
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Monza | Home | 2-1 | Win |
| 28 Oct 2026 | AC Milan | Away | 4-2 | Win |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Cagliari | Away | 2-0 | Win |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Inter | Home | 1-3 | Loss |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Lecce | Away | 2-1 | Win |
Across these five league matches, Bologna scored 11 goals and conceded seven.
### ⚽ Attacking Performance
Bologna have been more productive in the final third than Parma.
Their recent performances demonstrate a flexible attacking structure with several players capable of contributing goals.
Federico Bernardeschi offers creativity and experience. His ability to operate in advanced wide positions can help Bologna create numerical advantages.
Nicolò Cambiaghi provides movement and attacking energy, while Jens Odgaard can operate between the lines or occupy central attacking spaces.
Lewis Ferguson is another important contributor because of his ability to move forward from midfield.
Bologna can threaten Parma through:
- Quick passing combinations around the penalty area.
- Attacking movements from the wide positions.
- Forward runs from central midfield.
- Crosses and cutbacks from the wing-backs.
- Counterattacks after recovering possession.
Their recent 4-2 victory against AC Milan demonstrated their ability to exploit space and produce an effective attacking performance away from home.
### 🛡️ Defensive Performance
Bologna have conceded 13 league goals in ten matches.
Although their defensive record is not perfect, they have generally been more balanced than Parma.
Nicolò Casale and Arthur Theate can provide strength and organisation in the back line.
Lukasz Skorupski offers experience in goal, while the midfield can help protect the central defensive areas.
Bologna must nevertheless remain careful against Parma's direct attacking approach.
The hosts may look for early crosses and forward passes, especially towards Touré and Lontani.
### ✈️ Away Record
| Away Statistic | Record |
|---|---:|
| Matches | 5 |
| Wins | 3 |
| Draws | 0 |
| Losses | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 8 |
| Goals Conceded | 5 |
| Points | 9 |
Bologna's away record is encouraging.
They have won three of their first five away league matches and scored eight goals.
This is a significant advantage over Parma's home record, which includes only one victory.
### Tactical Outlook
Bologna are expected to use a flexible attacking structure based on a three-centre-back system.
The wing-backs can provide width, while the midfielders attempt to control possession and create opportunities for the forwards.
Their attacking players should look to move into the spaces around Parma's defensive midfielders.
If Bologna can establish control in central areas, they may create enough opportunities to score more than once.
---
## 6. 🤝 Head-to-Head Record
The recent head-to-head history between Parma and Bologna has been competitive.
Both clubs have recorded important victories, and the results suggest that this regional fixture should not be approached as a straightforward away win.
Parma won the most recent league meeting in February 2026, defeating Bologna 1-0 away from home.
Bologna had previously won 3-1 at Parma in November 2025.
### Last Five Verified Meetings
| Date | Competition | Home Team | Score | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---:|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Serie A | Bologna | 0-1 | Parma |
| 4 Dec 2025 | Coppa Italia | Bologna | 2-1 | Parma |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Serie A | Parma | 1-3 | Bologna |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Serie A | Parma | 2-0 | Bologna |
| 6 Oct 2024 | Serie A | Bologna | 0-0 | Parma |
### H2H Comparison
| Statistic | Last Five Meetings |
|---|---:|
| Parma Wins | 2 |
| Bologna Wins | 2 |
| Draws | 1 |
| Total Goals | 10 |
| Average Goals Per Match | 2.00 |
| Matches Over 2.5 Goals | 2 |
| Matches Under 2.5 Goals | 3 |
| Both Teams Scored | 2 |
### Goal Trends
The recent meetings have generally been competitive and relatively controlled.
Three of the five listed encounters finished with fewer than three goals.
The results also demonstrate that Parma can cause problems for Bologna, particularly when they defend compactly and use direct attacks.
However, Bologna's current attacking form is stronger than their performances in some of those earlier meetings.
### Home-Venue History
Parma have recorded important home victories against Bologna.
Their 2-0 win in February 2025 demonstrated their ability to defend effectively and exploit opportunities at Ennio Tardini.
However, Bologna won 3-1 at the same stadium in November 2025.
The recent home history therefore does not provide a decisive advantage to either side.
### H2H Verdict
The historical record suggests a competitive match.
Parma have enough quality to create problems, but Bologna's current form and stronger away record make them the preferred selection.
---
## 7. 🩺 Home Team News and Key Players – Parma
Parma have two reported injury absences ahead of the fixture.
Adrián Bernabé is dealing with a thigh injury, while Dominik Drobnic has been reported unavailable because of a foot-related problem.
There are no reported suspensions in the available pre-match team information.
### Injury and Suspension Report
| Player | Reported Status | Potential Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Adrián Bernabé | Thigh injury | Midfield creativity |
| Dominik Drobnic | Foot injury | Defensive depth |
| Suspensions | None reported | No confirmed suspension issue |
The final matchday squad should be checked before kickoff because availability can change.
### ⭐ Key Players
**1. Simone Lontani – Attacking Threat**
Lontani is an important forward option for Parma.
His movement and finishing ability can help the home side create opportunities, particularly when Bologna leave space behind their defensive line.
He is expected to be involved in the central attacking areas.
**2. El Bilal Touré – Forward Option**
Touré provides physical presence and direct running.
His ability to hold the ball and attack space could be useful against Bologna's three-centre-back structure.
**3. Giovanni Fabbian – Midfield Support**
Fabbian can contribute through forward runs and attacking movement from midfield.
His positioning could be important if Parma want to create numerical advantages around Bologna's penalty area.
**4. Mandela Keita – Midfield Balance**
Keita provides energy and defensive support in central midfield.
His ability to recover possession and protect the defensive line will be important against Bologna's attacking midfielders.
**5. Enrico Delprato – Defensive Organisation**
Delprato is an important defensive figure for Parma.
His positioning and communication will be necessary to maintain the back three against Bologna's wide attacking players.
### Tactical Impact of Absences
Bernabé's absence could reduce Parma's creativity in central midfield.
The home side may need to rely more heavily on Fabbian and Sierro to progress the ball and connect the midfield with the forwards.
Drobnic's unavailability also reduces defensive depth.
Nevertheless, Parma produced an excellent result against Atalanta without relying on a fully available squad.
Their defensive discipline will be essential.
---
## 8. 🩺 Away Team News and Key Players – Bologna
Bologna have several reported injury concerns ahead of the trip to Parma.
Emil Holm, Lorenzo De Silvestri and Jay Enem have been listed among the unavailable players in the available pre-match reports.
There are no reported suspensions in the latest expected-lineup information.
### Injury and Suspension Report
| Player | Reported Status | Potential Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Emil Holm | Hamstring injury | Right-side defensive options |
| Lorenzo De Silvestri | Thigh injury | Defensive and wing-back depth |
| Jay Enem | Achilles-related issue | Squad attacking options |
| Suspensions | None reported | No confirmed suspension issue |
Roberto Piccoli has been reported as returning to training and may be available among the substitutes, subject to final selection.
### ⭐ Key Players
**1. Federico Bernardeschi – Attacking Creativity**
Bernardeschi can provide creativity and technical quality in advanced positions.
His ability to receive the ball between the lines and create opportunities could be important against Parma's compact midfield.
**2. Nicolò Cambiaghi – Wide Attacking Threat**
Cambiaghi offers movement, pace and direct attacking play.
He can stretch the opposition defence and create space for other attacking players.
**3. Jens Odgaard – Forward Movement**
Odgaard can operate as a central attacking player or in a supporting role.
His movement between defenders and midfielders may create problems for Parma's defensive structure.
**4. Lewis Ferguson – Midfield Influence**
Ferguson is important because of his ability to contribute in both phases of play.
He can help Bologna maintain possession and make forward runs into dangerous areas.
**5. Lukasz Skorupski – Goalkeeper**
Skorupski provides experience and organisation.
His ability to deal with crosses and shots will be important against Parma's direct attacking approach.
**6. Arthur Theate – Defensive Leadership**
Theate can provide strength and organisation in central defence.
He will be important when Parma attempt to play direct passes towards their forwards.
### Tactical Impact of Absences
Holm and De Silvestri's reported absences may influence Bologna's right-side selection.
However, the team has alternative options, including Matteo Darmian and other defensive players.
The possible return of Piccoli could give Palladino additional flexibility in the second half.
Bologna still possess enough attacking quality to remain favourites.
---
## 9. 🧠 Expected Lineups and Tactical Formations
The following starting lineups are predictions based on available pre-match team information. They are not confirmed official selections.
### 🟡🔵 Parma – Expected 3-5-2 Formation
| Position | Expected Player |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | Giovanni Daffara |
| Centre Back | Enrico Delprato |
| Centre Back | Mariano Troilo |
| Centre Back | Abdoulaye Ndiaye |
| Right Wing-Back | Sascha Britschgi |
| Central Midfield | Giovanni Fabbian |
| Central Midfield | Vincent Sierro |
| Central Midfield | Mandela Keita |
| Left Wing-Back | Emanuele Valeri |
| Forward | Simone Lontani |
| Forward | El Bilal Touré |
*The final forward selection may differ. David Romero is another possible starting option.*
### Parma Formation Illustration
```text
Lontani Touré
Valeri Keita Sierro Fabbian Britschgi
Ndiaye Troilo Delprato
Daffara