🟣⚪ TOULOUSE FC vs 🔵⚪ ESTAC TROYES
Main Prediction: Toulouse to Win | Correct Score: Toulouse 3-1 Troyes | Both Teams to Score: Yes | Over 2.5 Goals
Toulouse FC welcome ESTAC Troyes to Stadium de Toulouse on Sunday, October 25, 2026, for an important Ligue 1 Matchday 8 encounter.
The two clubs enter this fixture with significantly different recent performances.
Toulouse have collected nine points from their opening seven league matches, recording two victories, three draws and two defeats.
Troyes, meanwhile, occupy 17th place with just four points, having registered one victory, one draw and five defeats.
Jens Berthel Askou's Toulouse have demonstrated encouraging attacking improvement, scoring ten goals across their previous four Ligue 1 matches.
The hosts remain unbeaten during that four-match sequence, including an impressive 3-0 away victory against Le Mans.
Newly promoted Troyes have struggled considerably under Stéphane Dumont.
The visitors have suffered five consecutive league defeats, conceding 15 goals during that sequence.
Their latest domestic encounter ended in a disappointing 3-1 home defeat against Lens.
Toulouse also possess an excellent recent head-to-head record against Troyes, remaining unbeaten in their previous five competitive meetings.
The hosts' stronger recent form, attacking productivity and historical advantage make them clear favourites.
Our Toulouse vs Troyes prediction favours a home victory, with a 3-1 correct-score forecast supported by Toulouse's attacking improvement and Troyes' defensive problems.
🔮 Quick Match Prediction
Predicted Winner: Toulouse FC
Correct Score Prediction: Toulouse 3-1 ESTAC Troyes
Match Win Probabilities
Home Win: 64%
Draw: 22%
Away Win: 14%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Total Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
Alternative Goals Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals
Double Chance: Toulouse or Draw (1X)
First Half Prediction: Toulouse to Win
Half-Time Correct Score: 1-0
Second Half Prediction: Toulouse to Win
Second-Half Correct Score: 2-1
Prediction Confidence: Moderate
These probabilities are subjective LincBet editorial estimates based on league performances, recent form, attacking and defensive statistics, home advantage and team availability. They are not official bookmaker odds or guaranteed outcomes.
🏟️ Toulouse vs Troyes Match Information
| Match Information | Details |
|---|---|
| Competition | French Ligue 1 2026/27 |
| Matchday | 8 |
| Date | Sunday, October 25, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 17:15 CET (France local time) |
| Stadium | Stadium de Toulouse |
| City | Toulouse, France |
| Home Team | Toulouse FC |
| Away Team | ESTAC Troyes |
| Toulouse Head Coach | Jens Berthel Askou |
| Troyes Head Coach | Stéphane Dumont |
| Referee | Geoffrey Kubler |
| Broadcaster in France | Ligue 1+ |
Important Schedule Update: This match was originally scheduled for Saturday, October 24, but the French league officially moved it to Sunday, October 25, at the same local kickoff time.
📊 Ligue 1 Standings and Season Comparison
Toulouse enter this encounter with a five-point advantage over Troyes.
The hosts possess stronger attacking and defensive statistics, while the visitors have experienced significant difficulties during their return to Ligue 1.
| Statistic | 🟣 Toulouse FC | 🔵 ESTAC Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 11th | 17th |
| Matches Played | 7 | 7 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Conceded | 11 | 16 |
| Goal Difference | +1 | -11 |
| Total Points | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored Per Match | 1.71 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded Per Match | 1.57 | 2.29 |
| League Clean Sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Last Five League Results | L-D-W-D-W | L-L-L-L-L |
⚽ Attacking Comparison
🟣 Toulouse: 12 Ligue 1 goals
🔵 Troyes: 5 Ligue 1 goals
Toulouse possess a clear advantage in attacking productivity.
The hosts average approximately 1.71 goals per league match.
Troyes average just 0.71.
Toulouse have also scored ten goals across their previous four league matches.
That represents a significant improvement following a difficult opening to the season.
🛡️ Defensive Comparison
🟣 Toulouse: 11 goals conceded
🔵 Troyes: 16 goals conceded
Troyes possess one of the weakest defensive records in Ligue 1.
Their average of 2.29 goals conceded per fixture represents a significant concern.
Toulouse have also experienced defensive inconsistencies, conceding 11 goals.
However, their recent 3-0 victory against Le Mans demonstrated improved organisation.
📈 Recent League Momentum
🟣 Toulouse: L-D-W-D-W
🔵 Troyes: L-L-L-L-L
Form sequences are displayed from oldest to newest.
Toulouse have collected eight points from their previous four league matches.
Troyes have failed to collect any points during their previous five.
This difference in recent momentum is one of the strongest arguments supporting a home victory.
🟣⚪ Toulouse Recent Form and Performance
Toulouse experienced a difficult opening to the 2026/27 Ligue 1 season.
Under Jens Berthel Askou, the hosts collected only one point from their first three league fixtures.
Their campaign began with a disappointing 2-0 home defeat against Lyon.
They subsequently secured a 2-2 away draw against Brest.
However, another home defeat followed when Lille secured a narrow 1-0 victory at Stadium de Toulouse.
Those results raised concerns about Toulouse's attacking productivity and defensive organisation.
Nevertheless, the team's performances improved considerably during September.
On September 12, Toulouse secured an entertaining 2-2 away draw against Lorient.
Their first league victory arrived one week later.
On September 19, Toulouse defeated Le Havre 3-2 at home.
The result provided an important confidence boost and demonstrated improved attacking movement.
Following the international break, Toulouse travelled to Monaco.
On October 10, they secured another impressive 2-2 draw.
The hosts' attacking players created several opportunities against a competitive Monaco side.
Their most recent Ligue 1 fixture produced their strongest performance of the season.
On October 16, Toulouse defeated newly promoted Le Mans 3-0 away from home.
Jacen Russell-Rowe, Casper Tengstedt and Aron Dønnum scored the goals.
Goalkeeper Guillaume Restes also helped the team secure an important clean sheet.
The victory extended Toulouse's unbeaten league sequence to four matches.
The hosts now have an opportunity to secure consecutive Ligue 1 victories for the first time this season.
Toulouse Recent Results
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| October 16, 2026 | Le Mans vs Toulouse | 0-3 Win |
| October 10, 2026 | Monaco vs Toulouse | 2-2 Draw |
| September 19, 2026 | Toulouse vs Le Havre | 3-2 Win |
| September 12, 2026 | Lorient vs Toulouse | 2-2 Draw |
| September 3, 2026 | Toulouse vs Lille | 0-1 Loss |
| August 29, 2026 | Brest vs Toulouse | 2-2 Draw |
| August 22, 2026 | Toulouse vs Lyon | 0-2 Loss |
Last Five Ligue 1 Results: Loss – Draw – Win – Draw – Win
Toulouse Season Statistics
| Statistic | Record |
|---|---|
| Matches Played | 7 |
| Wins | 2 |
| Draws | 3 |
| Losses | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 12 |
| Goals Conceded | 11 |
| Goal Difference | +1 |
| Points | 9 |
| Average Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| Average Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
| Top League Goalscorer | Casper Tengstedt – 5 |
| Leading Assist Provider | Cristian Cásseres Jr. – 5 |
Toulouse's attacking improvement has been significant.
Their 12 league goals after seven matches represent the club's highest total at this stage of a top-flight season since 1985/86.
However, defensive organisation remains an important concern.
Toulouse have conceded in six of their seven Ligue 1 matches.
Against Troyes, the hosts must avoid defensive mistakes while attempting to maintain their improved attacking efficiency.
🏠 Toulouse Home Performance
Toulouse have recorded one victory and two defeats across their opening three home league fixtures.
| Home Match | Result |
|---|---|
| Toulouse vs Lyon | 0-2 Loss |
| Toulouse vs Lille | 0-1 Loss |
| Toulouse vs Le Havre | 3-2 Win |
Home Record: 1 Win | 0 Draws | 2 Defeats
Home Goals Scored: 3
Home Goals Conceded: 5
Although Toulouse possess an encouraging overall recent record, their home performances have been less consistent.
Their victory against Le Havre provided an important improvement.
However, the hosts must demonstrate greater defensive stability to establish Stadium de Toulouse as a reliable advantage.
Against Troyes, they will attempt to build on the attacking confidence generated by recent results.
🔵⚪ ESTAC Troyes Recent Form and Performance
ESTAC Troyes have experienced a difficult return to Ligue 1 following promotion.
Under Stéphane Dumont, the visitors have collected just four points from seven league fixtures.
Their record includes one victory, one draw and five defeats.
Although Troyes demonstrated encouraging attacking qualities during the early weeks, their defensive performances have deteriorated significantly.
Their only league victory arrived on August 29.
Troyes defeated Lorient 2-1 away from home.
The result provided encouragement and suggested that the newly promoted club could compete successfully in the top division.
However, the positive momentum was short-lived.
On September 6, Troyes suffered a heavy 6-2 home defeat against Strasbourg.
The result exposed major defensive weaknesses.
Another setback followed on September 13, when Lille secured a 2-0 home victory against Troyes.
The visitors then lost 2-0 away against Angers.
After the international break, Troyes attempted to regain confidence.
However, they suffered another 2-0 defeat against Marseille on October 11.
Their most recent Ligue 1 fixture also ended disappointingly.
On October 17, Troyes lost 3-1 at home against Lens.
Timothée Nkada scored for Troyes, but the hosts were unable to contain Lens' attacking movement.
The defeat extended Troyes' losing sequence to five consecutive league matches.
They have conceded 15 goals during those five fixtures.
The team's defensive organisation and limited attacking productivity represent major concerns ahead of the trip to Toulouse.
Troyes Recent Results
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| October 17, 2026 | Troyes vs Lens | 1-3 Loss |
| October 11, 2026 | Troyes vs Marseille | 0-2 Loss |
| September 19, 2026 | Angers vs Troyes | 2-0 Loss |
| September 13, 2026 | Lille vs Troyes | 2-0 Loss |
| September 6, 2026 | Troyes vs Strasbourg | 2-6 Loss |
| August 29, 2026 | Lorient vs Troyes | 1-2 Win |
Last Five Ligue 1 Results: Loss – Loss – Loss – Loss – Loss
Troyes Season Statistics
| Statistic | Record |
|---|---|
| Matches Played | 7 |
| Wins | 1 |
| Draws | 1 |
| Losses | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 5 |
| Goals Conceded | 16 |
| Goal Difference | -11 |
| Points | 4 |
| Average Goals Scored | 0.71 |
| Average Goals Conceded | 2.29 |
| Goals Conceded in Last Five | 15 |
| Consecutive League Defeats | 5 |
Troyes' defensive record is particularly concerning.
The visitors have conceded at least twice in each of their previous five league matches.
Their attacking players have also struggled to generate consistent opportunities.
Troyes scored only three goals during those five defeats.
Three matches ended without a goal for the newly promoted side.
Against Toulouse, improving defensive concentration will be essential.
✈️ Troyes Away Performance
Troyes have recorded one victory and two defeats across their opening three away Ligue 1 fixtures.
| Away Match | Result |
|---|---|
| Lorient vs Troyes | 1-2 Win |
| Lille vs Troyes | 2-0 Loss |
| Angers vs Troyes | 2-0 Loss |
Away Record: 1 Win | 0 Draws | 2 Defeats
Away Goals Scored: 2
Away Goals Conceded: 5
Troyes' away attacking productivity has been limited.
They failed to score during their previous two away league fixtures.
However, their earlier victory against Lorient demonstrates that they remain capable of producing an unexpected result.
Toulouse must therefore avoid underestimating the visitors.
🤝 Toulouse vs ESTAC Troyes Head-to-Head Record
Toulouse possess a strong recent competitive head-to-head record against Troyes.
The hosts have remained unbeaten in their previous five official meetings.
During that sequence, Toulouse recorded three victories and two draws.
Their most recent encounter took place on February 1, 2023.
Toulouse secured a convincing 4-1 home victory in Ligue 1.
Earlier during the same season, Toulouse defeated Troyes 3-0 away from home.
The two teams also met in Ligue 2 during the 2020/21 campaign.
Both encounters ended in draws.
Last Five Competitive Head-to-Head Results
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| February 1, 2023 | Toulouse vs Troyes | 4-1 |
| August 14, 2022 | Troyes vs Toulouse | 0-3 |
| February 6, 2021 | Troyes vs Toulouse | 1-1 |
| October 3, 2020 | Toulouse vs Troyes | 0-0 |
| January 27, 2018 | Toulouse vs Troyes | 1-0 |
Last Five Meetings: Toulouse 3 Wins | Draws 2 | Troyes 0 Wins
⚽ Head-to-Head Goals Comparison
🟣 Toulouse: 9 goals scored
🔵 Troyes: 2 goals scored
Toulouse Unbeaten: Last five competitive meetings.
Toulouse Victories: Three of the last five.
Draws: Two of the last five.
Troyes Victories: None of the last five.
The historical record demonstrates Toulouse's superiority.
However, some of these meetings took place several years ago, so current performances remain more important when assessing the upcoming fixture.
🏟️ Previous Meetings at Stadium de Toulouse
Toulouse have performed particularly well against Troyes at home.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| February 1, 2023 | Toulouse vs Troyes | 4-1 |
| October 3, 2020 | Toulouse vs Troyes | 0-0 |
| January 27, 2018 | Toulouse vs Troyes | 1-0 |
Last Three Competitive Home Meetings: Toulouse 2 Wins | 1 Draw | 0 Defeats
This home head-to-head advantage provides additional encouragement for Toulouse.
🩺 Toulouse Team News and Key Players
Toulouse approach the fixture with several fitness considerations.
Abu Francis has experienced a hamstring problem and requires assessment.
Sion Oppong and goalkeeper Mathys Niflore have also been mentioned as fitness concerns in pre-match reports.
However, both were named in Toulouse's published pre-match squad list, meaning their final availability should be checked rather than treating them as definitively absent.
Ilyas Azizi has returned to the squad after missing the previous trip to Le Mans.
Jens Berthel Askou retains several important attacking options.
⭐ Casper Tengstedt
Tengstedt has been Toulouse's leading attacking player this season.
The Danish forward has scored five Ligue 1 goals.
His movement, positioning and ability to finish inside the penalty area make him Toulouse's most dangerous goalscoring threat.
He also scored during the recent 3-0 victory against Le Mans.
Against a Troyes defence conceding more than two goals per match, Tengstedt could create significant problems.
⭐ Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Cásseres has been Toulouse's leading creative midfielder.
He has contributed five Ligue 1 assists.
His passing ability, midfield movement and capacity to create opportunities make him extremely influential.
Against Troyes, Cásseres could help Toulouse exploit spaces between the visitors' defensive lines.
His ability to control midfield may prove particularly important.
⭐ Jacen Russell-Rowe
Russell-Rowe has scored two Ligue 1 goals this season.
He also scored during the recent victory against Le Mans.
His physical presence and movement inside the penalty area could create opportunities.
His partnership with Tengstedt may become particularly dangerous.
⭐ Thomas Jørgensen
Jørgensen has scored two league goals.
His creativity, technical ability and attacking movement provide Toulouse with an additional threat.
He may operate from wide midfield or in a more advanced supporting role.
⭐ Aron Dønnum
Dønnum scored during Toulouse's 3-0 victory against Le Mans.
His pace, crossing and direct attacking movement could create problems for Troyes' full-backs.
He may attempt to exploit defensive spaces through quick transitions.
⭐ Niko Sigur
Sigur provides energy and tactical discipline in midfield.
His ability to recover possession and distribute the ball could help Toulouse maintain control.
He may play an important role in limiting Troyes' counterattacking opportunities.
⭐ Mark McKenzie
McKenzie provides experience and physical strength in central defence.
His positioning and ability to defend aerial situations could help Toulouse maintain defensive organisation.
⭐ Rasmus Nicolaisen
Nicolaisen remains an important leader in Toulouse's defensive line.
His experience and positional discipline could help the hosts restrict Troyes' attacking opportunities.
⭐ Guillaume Restes
Restes has been an important figure in goal.
His recent clean sheet against Le Mans provides encouragement.
His distribution could also help Toulouse build attacking moves from deeper areas.
🩺 ESTAC Troyes Team News and Key Players
Troyes approach this match with several important injury concerns.
Ismaël Boura is unavailable because of a hip problem.
Anis Ouzenadji is also sidelined.
Yvann Titi remains unavailable because of injury.
Yacouba Koné is another confirmed absentee.
Paolo Gozzi has faced a minor fitness concern and requires assessment.
These defensive absences could influence Stéphane Dumont's final selection.
Despite their problems, Troyes retain several players capable of creating opportunities.
⭐ Timothée Nkada
Nkada scored Troyes' goal against Lens.
His movement, speed and ability to exploit spaces could make him an important attacking threat.
Against Toulouse, he may attempt to create opportunities through quick counterattacks.
⭐ Jérémy Le Douaron
Le Douaron provides attacking experience and physical presence.
He has contributed a league goal this season.
His movement and link-up play could help Troyes generate opportunities against Toulouse's defensive line.
⭐ Antoine Mille
Mille provides creativity and technical quality in midfield.
He has contributed a league goal and an assist this season.
His passing and ability to progress possession could help Troyes establish attacking rhythm.
Mille was also developed through Toulouse's youth system, adding an interesting personal connection to the fixture.
⭐ Merwan Ifnaoui
Ifnaoui offers creativity and movement in advanced attacking positions.
His ability to operate between midfield and attack could help Troyes create opportunities.
He may also provide support during counterattacking situations.
⭐ Mouhamed Diop
Diop provides midfield energy and defensive protection.
His ball recovery and ability to interrupt attacking combinations could be important against Toulouse.
⭐ Dermane Karim
Karim offers technical quality and movement through midfield.
He may attempt to support attacking transitions while maintaining defensive discipline.
⭐ Lucas Maronnier
Maronnier has scored a league goal this season.
His defensive positioning and attacking movement from wide areas could become important.
⭐ Adrien Monfray
Monfray provides defensive experience and leadership.
With several defenders unavailable, his organisation may prove especially important.
⭐ Patrick Beach
Beach is Troyes' first-choice goalkeeper.
He has faced considerable pressure during the opening weeks of the season.
His shot-stopping ability could become decisive against Toulouse's improved attack.
🧠 Expected Lineups and Tactical Formations
🟣⚪ Toulouse Expected Formation: 4-4-2
| Position | Predicted Players |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | Guillaume Restes |
| Right-Back | Rafik Messali |
| Centre-Back | Mark McKenzie |
| Centre-Back | Rasmus Nicolaisen |
| Left-Back | Christ Tapé |
| Right Midfield | Aron Dønnum |
| Central Midfield | Cristian Cásseres Jr. |
| Central Midfield | Niko Sigur |
| Left Midfield | Thomas Jørgensen |
| Forward | Jacen Russell-Rowe |
| Forward | Casper Tengstedt |
🟣 Tactical Illustration – 4-4-2
RUSSELL-ROWE TENGSTEDT
DØNNUM CÁSSERES SIGUR JØRGENSEN
TAPÉ NICOLAISEN McKENZIE MESSALI
RESTESToulouse may use an attacking partnership between Russell-Rowe and Tengstedt.
Cásseres and Sigur could provide midfield control.
Dønnum and Jørgensen may support attacks from wide positions.
The system could also shift toward 4-2-3-1 during possession.
Toulouse may attempt to press Troyes aggressively while creating opportunities through quick combinations.
🔵⚪ Troyes Expected Formation: 4-3-3
| Position | Predicted Players |
|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | Patrick Beach |
| Right-Back | Lucas Maronnier |
| Centre-Back | Adrien Monfray |
| Centre-Back | Junior Diaz |
| Left-Back | Paolo Gozzi |
| Central Midfield | Antoine Mille |
| Central Midfield | Mouhamed Diop |
| Central Midfield | Dermane Karim |
| Right Forward | Merwan Ifnaoui |
| Centre-Forward | Jérémy Le Douaron |
| Left Forward | Timothée Nkada |
🔵 Tactical Illustration – 4-3-3
IFNAOUI LE DOUARON NKADA
MILLE DIOP KARIM
GOZZI DIAZ MONFRAY MARONNIER
BEACHTroyes may attempt to defend in a compact structure while creating opportunities through quick counterattacks.
Mille and Diop could provide passing and midfield organisation.
Nkada and Ifnaoui may attempt to exploit spaces behind Toulouse's full-backs.
Le Douaron will likely provide the central attacking presence.
These are predicted formations, not confirmed starting lineups. Final selection depends on player fitness and managerial decisions.
⚔️ Toulouse vs Troyes Tactical Analysis
1. Toulouse's Recent Attacking Improvement
Toulouse have scored ten goals across their previous four Ligue 1 matches.
Their attacking movement has become more coordinated.
Tengstedt, Russell-Rowe and Dønnum have demonstrated increasing confidence.
Against a Troyes defence that has conceded 15 goals in five matches, Toulouse could create several opportunities.
2. Troyes' Defensive Vulnerabilities
Troyes have struggled to maintain defensive organisation.
The visitors conceded six goals against Strasbourg and three against Lens.
They have also conceded twice in each of their other three recent league defeats.
Toulouse may attempt to exploit gaps between Troyes' midfield and defensive lines.
3. Cristian Cásseres Jr.'s Creativity
Cásseres has contributed five league assists.
His passing and ability to create opportunities could become decisive.
Troyes must restrict his time on the ball.
Failure to do so could allow Tengstedt and Russell-Rowe to receive several dangerous passes.
4. Troyes' Counterattacking Opportunities
Although Toulouse are favourites, their defensive record remains imperfect.
The hosts have conceded 11 goals in seven league fixtures.
Troyes may attempt to exploit these vulnerabilities through Nkada and Ifnaoui.
A quick counterattack or set piece could give the visitors an opportunity to score.
5. The Importance of Casper Tengstedt
Tengstedt has scored five league goals.
His finishing and intelligent movement could create significant problems for Troyes.
The visitors must maintain defensive concentration when marking him.
However, concentrating too heavily on Tengstedt may create spaces for Russell-Rowe and Jørgensen.
6. Midfield Control
Toulouse may attempt to establish control through Cásseres and Sigur.
Troyes could respond through Mille, Diop and Karim.
The visitors must prevent Toulouse from creating opportunities through central combinations.
7. Home Advantage
Toulouse have struggled at home during the opening weeks, losing two of their first three league fixtures.
However, their most recent home match ended in a 3-2 victory against Le Havre.
The hosts will attempt to build on that performance.
8. The Importance of the Opening Goal
Troyes have struggled when conceding first during recent matches.
If Toulouse establish an early advantage, the visitors may be forced to commit additional players forward.
This could create space for Toulouse's attacking players.
However, an early Troyes goal would make the match more complicated for the favourites.
🎯 Toulouse vs Troyes Betting Tips
1. Toulouse to Win
Toulouse enter this match following a four-match unbeaten sequence in Ligue 1.
The hosts have recorded two victories and two draws during that period.
Troyes have suffered five consecutive defeats.
The visitors have also conceded 15 goals during those losses.
Toulouse possess stronger attacking statistics and a positive head-to-head record.
Prediction: Toulouse to Win
2. Over 2.5 Total Goals
Toulouse have scored ten goals across their previous four league fixtures.
Troyes have conceded 15 goals in their previous five.
The hosts' recent matches against Le Havre, Monaco and Le Mans all featured at least three total goals.
Although Troyes possess a relatively limited attack, Toulouse's current scoring form supports the possibility of another match with at least three goals.
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
3. Both Teams to Score – Yes
Toulouse have conceded 11 league goals in seven matches.
They have kept only one league clean sheet.
Troyes have struggled offensively, but they demonstrated an ability to score against Strasbourg and Lens.
The visitors may create opportunities through Nkada, Le Douaron and Ifnaoui.
A Troyes goal is less certain than a Toulouse victory, but defensive vulnerabilities on both sides make it a plausible outcome.
Prediction: Both Teams to Score – Yes
4. Double Chance – Toulouse or Draw (1X)
Toulouse possess stronger current form and home advantage.
The hosts are also unbeaten in their previous five competitive meetings with Troyes.
The visitors have lost their last five league matches.
The double-chance selection covers either a Toulouse victory or a draw.
Prediction: Toulouse or Draw (1X)
5. Correct Score Prediction – Toulouse 3-1 Troyes
Our preferred correct-score scenario is a convincing Toulouse victory.
The hosts possess greater attacking quality and momentum.
Troyes have experienced significant defensive problems, making it difficult to expect a clean sheet for the visitors.
However, Toulouse have also conceded regularly this season.
Troyes could therefore create an opportunity to score.
A competitive match ultimately decided by Toulouse's stronger attack appears plausible.
Correct Score Prediction: Toulouse 3-1 Troyes
Correct-score forecasts carry significant uncertainty and should not be treated as guaranteed results.
⏱️ First-Half and Second-Half Prediction
First-Half Outlook
Toulouse may attempt to establish attacking pressure immediately.
The hosts will be eager to take advantage of Troyes' recent defensive problems.
Tengstedt and Russell-Rowe could create early opportunities.
Troyes may respond with a compact defensive formation.
However, Toulouse's stronger attacking confidence could help them establish an advantage before halftime.
First-Half Prediction: Toulouse to Win
Half-Time Correct Score: 1-0
Second-Half Outlook
The match could become more open after halftime.
Troyes may attempt to increase attacking pressure if they are trailing.
This could create additional space for Toulouse.
Cásseres and Jørgensen may create opportunities through quick passing combinations.
Tengstedt and Russell-Rowe could exploit gaps in the visitors' defence.
Troyes may also create opportunities through counterattacks.
However, Toulouse's attacking quality could become decisive.
Second-Half Prediction: Toulouse to Win
Second-Half Correct Score: 2-1
Full-Time Correct Score: 3-1
📌 Key Factors That Could Decide the Match
1. Toulouse's Four-Match Unbeaten Sequence
The hosts have collected eight points from their previous four league fixtures.
2. Troyes' Five Consecutive Defeats
The visitors have suffered five straight Ligue 1 losses.
3. Toulouse's Improved Attacking Form
Toulouse have scored ten goals in their previous four matches.
4. Troyes' Defensive Problems
The visitors have conceded 15 goals in their previous five league fixtures.
5. Casper Tengstedt's Goalscoring Form
Tengstedt leads Toulouse with five league goals.
6. Cristian Cásseres Jr.'s Creativity
Cásseres has contributed five Ligue 1 assists.
7. Toulouse's Positive Head-to-Head Record
The hosts have avoided defeat in their previous five competitive meetings with Troyes.
8. Troyes' Attacking Difficulties
The visitors have scored only five league goals throughout the season.
9. Important Defensive Injuries
Troyes are missing several players, including Boura, Ouzenadji, Titi and Koné.
10. Toulouse's Defensive Inconsistency
The hosts have conceded in six of their seven league matches, creating a potential opportunity for Troyes.
🏁 Final Toulouse vs ESTAC Troyes Prediction
Toulouse and Troyes enter this Ligue 1 encounter with contrasting recent performances.
Toulouse have demonstrated significant improvement following a difficult start to the season.
Their four-match unbeaten sequence includes impressive performances against Le Havre, Monaco and Le Mans.
The hosts have also scored ten goals during those four matches.
Casper Tengstedt has developed into an important goalscoring threat, while Cristian Cásseres Jr. provides considerable creativity.
Troyes, meanwhile, have struggled throughout their return to Ligue 1.
The visitors have suffered five consecutive defeats and conceded 15 goals during that sequence.
Their defensive injury concerns create additional problems.
Although Toulouse have experienced defensive inconsistencies, the hosts possess considerably stronger attacking statistics and current momentum.
The historical head-to-head record also favours Toulouse.
We expect the hosts to establish attacking control and create several scoring opportunities.
Troyes could respond through counterattacks, but their defensive vulnerabilities make an away victory unlikely in our assessment.
Final Prediction: Toulouse 3-1 ESTAC Troyes
Best Match Prediction: Toulouse to Win
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Total Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
Alternative Goals Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals
Double Chance: Toulouse or Draw (1X)
Prediction Confidence: Moderate
❓ Toulouse vs ESTAC Troyes FAQ
Who will win Toulouse vs Troyes?
LincBet favours Toulouse because of their stronger recent form, improved attacking performances and Troyes' five-match losing sequence.
What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Troyes?
Our predicted correct score is Toulouse 3-1 ESTAC Troyes.
Will both teams score in Toulouse vs Troyes?
Both Teams to Score – Yes is our prediction. Toulouse have conceded regularly this season, while Troyes remain capable of creating opportunities through counterattacks.
Is Over 2.5 Goals a good prediction?
Over 2.5 Goals is our preferred total-goals prediction. Toulouse have scored ten goals in four matches, while Troyes have conceded 15 in their previous five.
What are the match win probabilities?
Our editorial estimates give Toulouse a 64% chance of winning, a draw a 22% chance and Troyes a 14% chance.
What is Toulouse's current Ligue 1 position?
Toulouse enter Matchday 8 in 11th place with nine points from seven matches.
What is Troyes' current Ligue 1 position?
Troyes occupy 17th place with four points from seven fixtures.
What is Toulouse's recent form?
Toulouse are unbeaten in their previous four Ligue 1 matches, recording two victories and two draws.
What is Troyes' recent form?
Troyes have suffered five consecutive Ligue 1 defeats, conceding 15 goals during that sequence.
Who is Toulouse's leading goalscorer?
Casper Tengstedt leads Toulouse with five Ligue 1 goals.
Who has the most assists for Toulouse?
Cristian Cásseres Jr. leads the team with five league assists.
Who are Troyes' key players?
Timothée Nkada, Jérémy Le Douaron, Antoine Mille, Merwan Ifnaoui and Patrick Beach could play important roles.
Who won the previous Toulouse vs Troyes match?
Toulouse defeated Troyes 4-1 on February 1, 2023.
Who has the better head-to-head record?
Toulouse are unbeaten in their previous five competitive meetings with Troyes, recording three victories and two draws.
Has Toulouse lost a home league match this season?
Yes. Toulouse have recorded one victory and two defeats across their opening three home league fixtures.
Has Troyes won an away league match this season?
Yes. Troyes defeated Lorient 2-1 away from home on August 29, 2026.
Which Troyes players are unavailable?
Ismaël Boura, Anis Ouzenadji, Yvann Titi and Yacouba Koné are among the reported injury absentees.
Is Ilyas Azizi available for Toulouse?
Yes. Azizi returned to Toulouse's published pre-match squad after missing the previous encounter against Le Mans.
Where will Toulouse vs Troyes be played?
The match will take place at Stadium de Toulouse in Toulouse, France.
When is Toulouse vs Troyes?
The Ligue 1 Matchday 8 fixture is scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 17:15 France local time.
Was Toulouse vs Troyes postponed?
The match was rescheduled from Saturday, October 24, to Sunday, October 25, at the same local kickoff time.
Who is the referee for Toulouse vs Troyes?
Geoffrey Kubler has been appointed as the match referee.
What is LincBet's final prediction?
Our final prediction is Toulouse to Win, with a 3-1 correct-score forecast, Both Teams to Score – Yes and Over 2.5 Goals.
Football predictions are editorial estimates based on available pre-match information. Actual results may differ, and no prediction guarantees a successful outcome.