📅 Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
⏰ Kickoff: 9:00 PM Central European Summer Time (CEST)
🏟️ Stadium: Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia, Spain 🇪🇸
⚽ Fixture: 🟠⚫ Valencia CF vs 🔴⚪ Athletic Club Bilbao
🏆 Competition: Spanish LaLiga EA SPORTS 2026/27
📋 Matchweek: 9
👨‍⚖️ Referee: Adrián Cordero Vega
📺 VAR: David Gálvez Rascón

🎯 Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao – Main Prediction

🏆 Predicted Winner: Athletic Bilbao (2)

⚽ Correct Score: Valencia 0-1 Athletic Bilbao

🥅 Preferred Total Goals: Over 1.5 Goals – Model Preference

🛡️ Alternative Goals Tip: Under 3.5 Goals

🔥 Both Teams to Score: No – Slight Preference

🛡️ Double Chance: Athletic Bilbao or Draw (X2)

⏳ Half-Time Prediction: Draw (X)

⏱️ Half-Time Correct Score: 0-0 – Speculative

⭐ Key Valencia Player: Hugo Duro

⚡ Key Athletic Bilbao Player: Iñaki Williams

🎯 Potential Goalscorer: Iñaki Williams

📊 LincBet Estimated Match Probabilities

The independent LincBet Poisson model uses estimated scoring rates of:

• 🟠⚫ Valencia: 1.00 goals

• 🔴⚪ Athletic Bilbao: 1.45 goals

• ⚽ Combined projected goals: 2.45

Athletic Bilbao receive the highest overall win probability because of their stronger league record, superior defensive statistics and Valencia's poor performances at Mestalla.

However, Athletic are missing important attacking players.

Nico Williams and Oihan Sancet are unavailable.

Those absences could reduce the visitors' scoring potential.

The model produces two joint-leading individual scorelines:

Valencia 0-1 Athletic Bilbao and Valencia 1-1 Athletic Bilbao, each with an estimated probability of approximately 12.5%.

LincBet selects 0-1 as its main prediction because it aligns with Valencia's poor home scoring record and Athletic's defensive statistics.

These percentages are independently calculated statistical estimates, not bookmaker odds, official expected goals or guaranteed outcomes.

⚽ Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Match Preview

Valencia welcome Athletic Bilbao to Mestalla on Saturday evening for Matchweek 9 of the 2026/27 LaLiga season.

The encounter brings together two clubs experiencing challenging starts.

Valencia occupy nineteenth place in the table.

Los Che have collected five points from eight matches.

Their record includes one victory, two draws and five defeats.

Athletic Bilbao occupy tenth place with eight points from six completed league fixtures.

Edin Terzić's side have registered two victories, two draws and two defeats.

Athletic have played fewer matches because of postponements and interruptions to their schedule.

The visitors possess a stronger defensive record.

However, their limited recent playing time and attacking injuries introduce considerable uncertainty.

🟠⚫ Valencia – A Difficult Start Under New Management

Valencia have endured a disappointing opening campaign.

Their first eight matches produced only one victory.

The team have scored six goals and conceded fifteen.

The poor results led to a managerial change.

Javier Aguirre has replaced Carlos Corberán.

The experienced manager made his debut against Racing Santander on October 11.

The match finished 2-2.

Valencia demonstrated attacking improvement, but they again struggled defensively.

Aguirre now prepares for his first home match as Valencia manager.

The encounter against Athletic provides an opportunity to begin rebuilding confidence at Mestalla.

⚽ Racing Santander 2-2 Valencia – Latest Result

Valencia entered the match hoping to improve their poor start.

Dani Raba opened the scoring.

Racing Santander subsequently responded.

David Otorbi also scored for Valencia.

The match eventually finished level.

Valencia collected an away point.

However, the result demonstrated that the defensive problems have not disappeared.

🔴⚪ Athletic Bilbao – Stronger Defensively but Missing Key Players

Athletic Bilbao have collected eight points from six completed league matches.

Their record includes two wins, two draws and two defeats.

The Basque club began the campaign with defeats against Sevilla and Barcelona.

However, their performances subsequently improved.

Athletic defeated Celta Vigo 2-0 away from home.

They followed that result with a convincing 3-0 victory against Atlético Madrid.

Draws against Elche and Alavés followed.

Those four completed results established an unbeaten sequence.

However, Athletic have experienced a disrupted calendar.

Their match against Levante was postponed.

Their encounter with Rayo Vallecano was suspended during the opening stages.

Consequently, the team have played relatively little competitive football recently.

⚔️ Athletic's Disrupted Match Rhythm

Athletic's lack of recent competitive minutes could influence the match.

The team have not completed a league fixture since September 19.

However, the extended recovery period may have helped some available players.

The main concern is maintaining match sharpness.

Valencia have played more recently.

Their latest match against Racing Santander took place on October 11.

🏟️ Mestalla – Opportunity or Additional Pressure?

Valencia possess one of Spain's most recognizable home stadiums.

However, their results at Mestalla have been disappointing.

The team have collected only one point from twelve available at home.

They have scored just twice in four home league matches.

The attacking record is particularly concerning.

Valencia failed to score against Celta Vigo, Real Betis and Barcelona.

They scored twice against Real Sociedad but conceded three.

The home crowd will expect improvement under Aguirre.

💡 Match Preview Conclusion

Athletic Bilbao possess the stronger overall record and defensive statistics.

Valencia benefit from home advantage and the motivation of a new manager's first home fixture.

However, their low attacking production makes it difficult to favor them.

LincBet's main prediction is Valencia 0-1 Athletic Bilbao, with Double Chance X2 and Under 3.5 Goals as the strongest supporting selections.

📊 Quick Prediction Table

🏟️ Match Information

📈 Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao – LaLiga Statistics

📊 LaLiga 2026/27 Statistics Comparison

Athletic have six completed matches; suspended and postponed fixtures are excluded.

🔎 Key Statistical Insights

1. Valencia have scored only six league goals.

That represents an average of 0.75 goals per match.

2. Valencia have conceded fifteen.

Their defensive average is approximately 1.88 goals conceded per match.

3. Athletic have conceded only six.

Their average is one goal per game.

4. Athletic possess superior points efficiency.

Their points-per-match average is more than double Valencia's.

5. Valencia have lost five of eight matches.

They have struggled to convert possession and attacking opportunities into positive results.

💡 Statistical Verdict

The current league numbers favor Athletic Bilbao.

Valencia need a substantial improvement in attacking efficiency.

🎯 LincBet Statistical Prediction: Athletic Bilbao or Draw (X2).

🏆 LaLiga League Table Context

Valencia's Objective

Valencia are attempting to escape the relegation zone.

A victory would take them to eight points.

It would also provide an important confidence boost for Javier Aguirre.

Athletic's Objective

Athletic want to improve their position and make up ground following their interrupted schedule.

Victory would take them to eleven points.

💡 Table Verdict

Athletic are in the stronger position.

Valencia face more immediate pressure to collect points.

🏠 Valencia Home Form vs Athletic Bilbao Away Form

🟠⚫ Valencia – Home LaLiga Results

📊 Valencia Home Statistics

🔎 Valencia Home Analysis

Valencia have struggled at Mestalla.

Their attacking production has been extremely limited.

They failed to score in three of four league fixtures.

The 5-0 defeat against Barcelona was particularly damaging.

The 3-2 defeat against Real Sociedad demonstrated some attacking improvement, but Valencia were unable to protect their goal.

🔴⚪ Athletic Bilbao – Completed Away League Results

📊 Athletic Away Sample

The sample is small because Athletic's away schedule has been interrupted.

📊 Home vs Away Comparison

💡 Home vs Away Verdict

Valencia's poor home attacking record favors Athletic.

However, the visitors' small completed away sample limits certainty.

🎯 LincBet Home vs Away Prediction: Valencia 0-1 Athletic Bilbao.

📈 Valencia Recent Form – Last Five LaLiga Matches

📅 Valencia Last Five Results

📊 Valencia Last Five Statistics

⚽ Racing Santander 2-2 Valencia

Valencia collected a point in Javier Aguirre's first match.

Dani Raba and David Otorbi scored.

However, Valencia could not secure victory.

⚽ Valencia 2-3 Real Sociedad

Valencia scored twice but conceded three.

The result highlighted defensive vulnerabilities.

⚽ Alavés 0-1 Valencia

Valencia recorded their first league victory.

The clean sheet demonstrated that improved defensive organization is possible.

⚽ Sevilla 1-0 Valencia

Valencia suffered a narrow away defeat.

Their attack failed to score.

⚽ Valencia 0-5 Barcelona

Valencia endured a heavy home defeat.

The result increased concerns about defensive organization.

💡 Valencia Recent Form Conclusion

Valencia have collected only four points in their previous five league matches.

Their eleven goals conceded highlight major defensive concerns.

However, the managerial change may influence their approach.

🎯 LincBet Valencia Form Prediction: Valencia Under 1.5 Team Goals.

📈 Athletic Bilbao Recent Form – Last Five Completed LaLiga Matches

📅 Athletic Last Five Results

📊 Athletic Last Five Statistics

⚽ Athletic 0-0 Alavés

Athletic secured a point.

Their defense maintained a clean sheet.

However, the attack failed to score.

⚽ Athletic 1-1 Elche

Athletic shared the points.

The team could not convert its chances into victory.

⚽ Athletic 3-0 Atlético Madrid

Athletic produced an impressive home performance.

The three-goal victory demonstrated attacking quality and defensive organization.

⚽ Celta Vigo 0-2 Athletic

Athletic secured a convincing away victory.

The clean sheet provided further confidence.

⚽ Barcelona 2-0 Athletic

Athletic suffered a defeat against the league leaders.

Their attack was unable to score.

💡 Athletic Form Conclusion

Athletic are unbeaten in their last four completed league matches.

They also kept three clean sheets across five matches.

Their defensive record is considerably stronger than Valencia's.

🎯 LincBet Athletic Form Prediction: Athletic Bilbao Win or Draw (X2).

🤝 Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao – Head-to-Head (H2H)

Recent meetings have generally been competitive and low-scoring.

📅 Last Five Competitive Meetings

📊 Last Five H2H Statistics

⚽ Athletic 0-1 Valencia – May 2026

Valencia secured an important away victory.

Umar Sadiq scored the winner.

⚽ Valencia 1-2 Athletic – February 2026

Athletic secured a Copa del Rey victory at Mestalla.

The result demonstrated their ability to win away against Valencia.

⚽ Valencia 2-0 Athletic – September 2025

Valencia secured a comfortable home victory.

⚽ Valencia 0-1 Athletic – May 2025

Athletic claimed a narrow away victory.

⚽ Athletic 1-0 Valencia – August 2024

Athletic secured a clean-sheet home victory.

🔎 Head-to-Head Insights

The five previous meetings produced only eight goals.

Four featured clean sheets for one of the sides.

Only one produced goals from both teams.

That pattern supports the possibility of another low-scoring encounter.

💡 H2H Conclusion

Athletic have won three of the previous five meetings.

However, Valencia won the latest league encounter.

The historical evidence strongly favors fewer than four total goals.

🎯 LincBet H2H Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals.

🚑 Valencia Team News & Player Availability

❌ Sergi Canós – Unavailable

Canós is sidelined through injury.

His absence reduces attacking depth.

❌ Diego López – Unavailable

López remains injured.

His absence affects wide attacking options.

❌ Umar Sadiq – Unavailable

Sadiq is also ruled out.

Valencia lose an experienced central attacking alternative.

🟡 Luis Rioja – Fitness Doubt

Rioja requires a late assessment.

His participation is uncertain.

🟡 Dimitri Foulquier – Fitness Doubt

Foulquier is another injury concern.

🟢 Arnaut Danjuma – Available

Danjuma has returned to the squad and provides an attacking alternative.

🟢 José Manuel Copete – Available

Copete has also returned to the squad.

⭐ Important Valencia Players

Hugo Duro

Expected to lead the attack.

Dani Raba

Scored against Racing Santander.

David Otorbi

Also scored in Valencia's latest match.

Javi Guerra

An important creative midfield player.

Pepelu

Provides passing and set-piece quality.

Guido Rodríguez

Offers defensive midfield experience.

José Gayà

An important defensive and attacking presence.

Stole Dimitrievski

Expected starting goalkeeper.

🚑 Athletic Bilbao Team News & Player Availability

❌ Nico Williams – Unavailable

Nico remains sidelined.

His absence reduces attacking pace and creativity.

❌ Oihan Sancet – Unavailable

Sancet is ruled out.

Athletic lose an important attacking midfielder.

❌ Unai Egiluz – Unavailable

Egiluz remains sidelined.

His absence reduces defensive depth.

🟡 Aymeric Laporte – Doubtful

Laporte faces a late fitness assessment following illness.

His participation should not be considered confirmed.

🟢 Iñaki Williams – Available

Williams is expected to lead the attack.

🟢 Álex Berenguer – Available

Berenguer provides creativity and attacking width.

🟢 Robert Navarro – Available

Navarro has scored twice in LaLiga this season.

🟢 Peio Canales – Available

Canales provides an attacking midfield option.

⭐ Important Athletic Players

• Iñaki Williams

• Robert Navarro

• Álex Berenguer

• Peio Canales

• Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta

• Mikel Gerenabarrena

• Jesús Areso

• Yuri Berchiche

• Yeray Álvarez

• Unai Simón

📋 Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao – Predicted Lineups

The following are provisional pre-match projections, not official starting elevens.

🟠⚫ Valencia – Possible 4-2-3-1 Formation

Manager: Javier Aguirre

🔴⚪ Athletic Bilbao – Possible 4-2-3-1 Formation

Manager: Edin Terzić

Laporte's place depends on his final fitness assessment.

⭐ Key Players to Watch

🟠⚫ Hugo Duro – Valencia

Position: Striker

Duro is expected to lead Valencia's attack.

His movement inside the penalty area could create opportunities.

Valencia will need improved finishing to challenge Athletic.

Key Factors: Positioning, finishing and physical movement.

🟠⚫ Javi Guerra – Valencia

Position: Attacking Midfielder

Guerra provides technical quality and attacking movement.

His ability to create chances could become important.

Key Factors: Passing, ball progression and creativity.

🟠⚫ Dani Raba – Valencia

Position: Forward / Winger

Raba scored against Racing Santander.

His movement and finishing may provide an important attacking option.

Key Factors: Shooting and final-third positioning.

🟠⚫ David Otorbi – Valencia

Position: Winger

Otorbi also scored against Racing Santander.

He provides pace and movement from wide positions.

Key Factors: Acceleration and direct attacks.

🟠⚫ Pepelu – Valencia

Position: Midfielder

Pepelu provides passing and set-piece quality.

His positioning may help Valencia control midfield.

Key Factors: Distribution and tactical discipline.

🔴⚪ Iñaki Williams – Athletic Bilbao

Position: Forward

Williams is expected to lead Athletic's attack.

His movement and pace could create problems for Valencia.

With Nico Williams and Sancet unavailable, his attacking responsibility increases.

Key Factors: Acceleration, movement and finishing.

🔴⚪ Robert Navarro – Athletic Bilbao

Position: Attacking Midfielder / Winger

Navarro has scored two league goals.

His direct movement provides another attacking threat.

Key Factors: Creativity and shooting.

🔴⚪ Álex Berenguer – Athletic Bilbao

Position: Winger

Berenguer provides passing and crossing quality.

His deliveries could help create opportunities for Williams.

Key Factors: Chance creation and set pieces.

🔴⚪ Peio Canales – Athletic Bilbao

Position: Attacking Midfielder

Canales may assume additional responsibility in Sancet's absence.

His passing and movement will be important.

Key Factors: Technical creativity and positioning.

🔴⚪ Unai Simón – Athletic Bilbao

Position: Goalkeeper

Simón provides goalkeeping experience.

His performance may help Athletic maintain their strong defensive record.

Key Factors: Shot-stopping and communication.

🧠 Tactical Deep-Dive – Twenty Key Match Factors

1. Valencia's New Manager

Javier Aguirre is attempting to rebuild defensive organization.

His tactical decisions may influence the match.

2. Athletic's Limited Match Rhythm

Athletic have not completed a league match since September 19.

Their sharpness could be an issue.

3. Valencia's Home Scoring Problems

The hosts have scored only twice in four home league matches.

4. Athletic's Defensive Consistency

Athletic have conceded six goals in six league fixtures.

5. Iñaki Williams' Movement

Williams may attempt to exploit Valencia's defensive spaces.

6. Hugo Duro's Attacking Role

Duro provides a central target.

He will need support from Guerra and Raba.

7. Javi Guerra Between the Lines

Guerra could create opportunities through passing.

8. Robert Navarro's Creativity

Navarro may challenge Valencia through direct movement.

9. Álex Berenguer's Crossing

Berenguer provides attacking width and dangerous deliveries.

10. Pepelu's Midfield Organization

Pepelu may attempt to control Valencia's buildup.

11. Athletic's Missing Attacking Players

The absences of Nico Williams and Sancet reduce their offensive depth.

12. Mestalla Atmosphere

Valencia supporters will expect a positive response.

13. Athletic's Set-Piece Opportunities

The visitors possess aerial threats and experienced defenders.

14. Valencia's Defensive Transitions

Conceding fifteen league goals indicates problems during defensive phases.

15. Unai Simón's Shot-Stopping

Simón may face dangerous chances if Valencia attack more aggressively.

16. The First Goal

An Athletic goal could increase the pressure on Valencia.

17. First-Half Caution

Both teams may initially prioritize defensive stability.

18. Second-Half Substitutions

Player fitness and tactical changes could become important.

19. Late Defensive Concentration

Valencia have struggled to maintain consistent defensive performances.

20. Match Management

Aguirre and Terzić must balance attacking ambition with defensive organization.

💡 Tactical Conclusion

Athletic possess the stronger defensive profile.

Valencia have home advantage and greater immediate match urgency.

However, the visitors' defensive strength provides the principal advantage.

🎯 LincBet Tactical Prediction: Valencia 0-1 Athletic Bilbao.

⚔️ Key Player Battles

Hugo Duro vs Yeray Álvarez

Duro provides central attacking movement.

Álvarez contributes experience and defensive positioning.

Key Duel: Penalty-area movement and aerial challenges.

Iñaki Williams vs Mouctar Diakhaby

Williams provides pace and attacking runs.

Diakhaby must maintain defensive concentration.

Key Duel: Acceleration versus physical defending.

Javi Guerra vs Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta

Guerra provides creativity.

Ruiz de Galarreta offers passing and midfield control.

Key Duel: Possession and chance creation.

David Otorbi vs Yuri Berchiche

Otorbi provides direct attacking movement.

Berchiche contributes experience and positioning.

Key Duel: Wide attacking transitions.

Álex Berenguer vs Pablo Maffeo

Berenguer provides passing and crossing quality.

Maffeo offers defensive strength.

Key Duel: Wide attacking deliveries.

📊 LincBet Independent Poisson Model

⚽ Simulated Expected Goals

These are independent scoring assumptions, not official shot-based xG.

📈 Match Outcome Probabilities

⚽ Total Goals Probabilities

🔥 Both Teams and Team Goals

🎯 Most Likely Correct Scores

🧠 Why Does LincBet Predict 0-1?

Valencia have scored only two goals in four league home matches.

Athletic possess the stronger defensive record.

The last five head-to-head meetings also produced relatively few goals.

However, Athletic's major attacking absences could restrict their scoring output.

The model gives the away side the highest overall win probability.

A narrow 0-1 result is therefore a plausible editorial selection.

It should not be interpreted as a certainty.

💡 Model Conclusion

Athletic or Draw (X2) carries approximately 74%.

Under 3.5 Goals carries approximately 77%.

Under 4.5 Goals carries approximately 90%.

The result is likely to remain competitive.

💰 Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao – Top Betting Tips

🥇 1. Athletic Bilbao to Win

🏆 Prediction: Athletic Bilbao (2)

Athletic possess stronger defensive statistics and a better points-per-match record.

Valencia have struggled at home.

Estimated Probability: 47.5%

🥈 2. Athletic Bilbao or Draw

🛡️ Prediction: Double Chance X2

The visitors are favored to avoid defeat.

Estimated Probability: 74.0%

🥉 3. Under 3.5 Total Goals

⚽ Prediction: Under 3.5

The previous five meetings all finished with fewer than four goals.

Both teams have important attacking concerns.

Estimated Probability: 76.8%

4. Over 1.5 Total Goals

🥅 Prediction: Over 1.5

The model assigns approximately 70% to at least two goals.

However, the selected 0-1 correct score falls outside this market.

Estimated Probability: 70.2%

This is a model-supported alternative, not a combined prediction with the selected exact score.

5. Valencia Under 1.5 Team Goals

🛡️ Prediction: Under 1.5

Valencia have scored only six goals in eight league fixtures.

Athletic possess a strong defensive record.

Estimated Probability: 73.6%

6. Athletic Bilbao to Score

🎯 Prediction: Over 0.5 Athletic Goals

Valencia have conceded fifteen league goals.

Estimated Probability: 76.5%

7. Both Teams to Score – No

🔥 Prediction: No – Slight Preference

Four of the last five head-to-head meetings featured a clean sheet.

Estimated Probability: 51.6%

This market is close to evenly balanced and therefore carries limited confidence.

8. Iñaki Williams Anytime Goalscorer

⭐ Prediction: Iñaki Williams to Score – Qualitative Selection

Williams is expected to lead Athletic's attack.

His pace may exploit Valencia's defensive spaces.

No separate player-specific probability is assigned.

9. Correct Score – 0-1

🎯 Prediction: Valencia 0-1 Athletic Bilbao

Estimated Probability: 12.5%

10. Half-Time Draw

⏳ Prediction: Draw

Valencia may begin cautiously under Aguirre.

Athletic may require time to establish match rhythm.

Speculative Half-Time Score: 0-0.

⏳ First-Half Outlook

Valencia may attempt to establish defensive organization.

Aguirre is likely to prioritize stability.

Athletic may also begin cautiously because of their disrupted schedule.

The match could remain closely contested during the opening stages.

LincBet Half-Time Prediction: 0-0 – Speculative.

🔥 Second-Half Outlook

The second half could provide greater attacking opportunities.

Athletic may attempt to exploit Valencia's defensive weaknesses.

Williams and Berenguer could become important.

Valencia may respond through Duro, Guerra and Raba.

However, the visitors' stronger defensive organization gives them a slight advantage.

LincBet Second-Half Prediction: Athletic Bilbao to create the decisive opportunity.

🔑 Ten Key Factors

1. Valencia occupy nineteenth place with five points.

2. Athletic possess eight points from six completed fixtures.

3. Valencia have scored only six league goals.

4. Athletic have conceded only six league goals.

5. Valencia have not won at Mestalla this season.

6. Athletic are unbeaten in their last four completed league matches.

7. Nico Williams and Oihan Sancet are unavailable.

8. Javier Aguirre is making his first home appearance as Valencia manager.

9. Four of the last five head-to-head meetings featured a clean sheet.

10. Athletic have experienced a disrupted schedule that could affect their match rhythm.

🏆 Final Prediction – Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao

Valencia enter the fixture under considerable pressure.

Their poor league position has already resulted in a managerial change.

Javier Aguirre will want to establish stronger defensive organization.

However, Valencia's attacking production remains limited.

Only six goals have been scored across eight league fixtures.

Athletic Bilbao possess a stronger defensive record.

The visitors have also collected more points per match.

However, their attacking injuries and recent lack of completed fixtures create uncertainty.

The historical head-to-head record suggests another competitive, potentially low-scoring encounter.

The LincBet model gives Athletic a 47.5% chance of victory.

Therefore, the preferred correct score is 0-1.

🎯 LincBet Final Selections

🏆 Predicted Winner: Athletic Bilbao (2)

⚽ Correct Score: Valencia 0-1 Athletic Bilbao

🥅 Preferred Model Goals Market: Over 1.5

📉 Alternative Goals Market: Under 3.5

🔥 Both Teams to Score: No – Slight Preference

🛡️ Double Chance: Athletic Bilbao or Draw (X2)

⏳ Half-Time Result: Draw

⏱️ Half-Time Score: 0-0 – Speculative

⭐ Valencia Key Player: Hugo Duro

⚡ Athletic Key Player: Iñaki Williams

🎯 Potential Goalscorer: Iñaki Williams

📊 Athletic Win Probability: 47.5%

🏆 LincBet Final Verdict

🟠⚫ Valencia 0-1 🔴⚪ Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao are narrowly favored to secure an away victory.

Valencia's poor home results and limited attacking production provide the strongest arguments.

However, the visitors' attacking injuries and disrupted schedule mean a draw remains a realistic alternative.

Preferred Supporting Predictions: Athletic or Draw (X2), Under 3.5 Goals and Valencia Under 1.5 Team Goals.

❓ Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao – Frequently Asked Questions

1. Who will win Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao?

LincBet favors Athletic Bilbao.

2. What is the predicted correct score?

Valencia 0-1 Athletic Bilbao.

3. What is the most likely exact score mathematically?

Both 0-1 and 1-1 have approximately 12.5% probability.

4. When is Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao?

Saturday, October 17, 2026.

5. What time is kickoff?

9:00 PM Central European Summer Time.

6. Where will the match be played?

Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia, Spain.

7. Which competition is the fixture?

Spanish LaLiga EA SPORTS 2026/27.

8. Which matchweek is this?

Matchweek 9.

9. What is Valencia's league position?

Nineteenth.

10. What is Athletic Bilbao's league position?

Tenth.

11. How many points does Valencia have?

Five.

12. How many points does Athletic have?

Eight.

13. How many matches has Valencia played?

Eight.

14. How many completed matches has Athletic played?

Six.

15. Who manages Valencia?

Javier Aguirre.

16. Who manages Athletic Bilbao?

Edin Terzić.

17. Who is the referee?

Adrián Cordero Vega.

18. What is the preferred result?

Athletic Bilbao to win.

19. What is Valencia's win probability?

26.0%.

20. What is Athletic Bilbao's win probability?

47.5%.

21. What is the draw probability?

26.5%.

22. How many goals has Valencia scored?

Six.

23. How many goals has Athletic scored?

Seven.

24. How many goals has Valencia conceded?

Fifteen.

25. How many goals has Athletic conceded?

Six.

26. What happened in Valencia's previous match?

They drew 2-2 against Racing Santander.

27. Who scored for Valencia against Racing Santander?

Dani Raba and David Otorbi.

28. What was Athletic's latest completed league result?

A 0-0 draw against Alavés.

29. Why has Athletic played fewer league matches?

Their schedule included postponed and suspended fixtures.

30. What is Valencia's home record?

One draw and three defeats.

31. What is Athletic's recent league form?

Two wins, two draws and one defeat across their last five completed fixtures.

32. Is Nico Williams available?

No. He is unavailable through injury.

33. Is Oihan Sancet available?

No. He is sidelined.

34. Is Unai Egiluz available?

No. He is injured.

35. Is Aymeric Laporte available?

He is doubtful pending a fitness assessment.

36. Is Umar Sadiq available for Valencia?

No. He is ruled out.

37. Is Diego López available?

No. He is injured.

38. Is Sergi Canós available?

No. He is unavailable.

39. Who is Athletic's key attacking player?

Iñaki Williams.

40. Who is Valencia's key striker?

Hugo Duro.

41. What happened in the previous head-to-head meeting?

Valencia won 1-0 in May 2026.

42. What happened in their previous Copa del Rey meeting?

Athletic won 2-1 in February 2026.

43. How many of the last five meetings were Under 3.5 Goals?

All five.

44. How many of the last five meetings featured goals from both teams?

One.

45. What is Valencia's simulated xG?

1.00.

46. What is Athletic's simulated xG?

1.45.

47. What is the probability of Over 1.5 Goals?

Approximately 70.2%.

48. What is the probability of Under 3.5 Goals?

Approximately 76.8%.

49. What is the Double Chance prediction?

Athletic Bilbao or Draw (X2).

50. What is LincBet's final prediction?

Athletic Bilbao to Win 1-0, with Double Chance X2, Under 3.5 Goals and Valencia Under 1.5 Team Goals as supporting selections.

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LincBet predictions are independent statistical estimates. Match outcomes and financial returns are not guaranteed.